Eibar’s Major Victory Raises Questions About Their Future

Key Factors Behind Eibar’s Recent Success

Eibar’s recent victory against Real Zaragoza marks a significant turning point for the team. This win is substantial not only because of the opponent but also due to the manner in which it was achieved, the game played, and the overall performance in both offense and defense.

Evolution in Attack

Coach Joseba Etxeberria has been experimenting with different strategies throughout the season to find the right balance in attack. The team’s performance over the last three days indicates a notable improvement in this aspect. Since matchday 3, Eibar has not had an xG (expected goals) as high as in their recent matches against Cartagena, Huesca, and Zaragoza, with 1.9 xG against Cartagena, 2.9 against Huesca, and 1.67 against Zaragoza.

Analysis of the Data

A closer look at the data reveals that the high xG figures against Huesca were largely due to Corpas’ 1.4 xG in the penalty action and the subsequent rebound. However, the reality is that Eibar’s performance against Zaragoza was significantly better in terms of offense, and the 1.67 xG does not fully capture the team’s impressive display.

The Role of Key Players

Etxeberria appears to have found the right combination, with Mada and Pascual forming a potent partnership that brings a new level of understanding and quality to the attack. Players like Puertas and Guruzeta also fit into this structure, making Eibar a more formidable opponent. The team’s interior game has improved considerably, and the presence of Corpas and Cristian Gutiérrez continues to pose a threat on the outside. The medical clearance of Matheus is also a welcome boost, although it is not the primary reason for the team’s improvement.

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