Biden and Trump win the Michigan primaries, but cannot escape their pitfalls: Gaza and Nikki Haley

president Joe Biden and its predecessor Donald Trump This Tuesday they met the forecasts Michigan area codes who celebrated their respective games and declared themselves winners, but failed to drive their rivals off the board. So, Trump will still have to compete against Nikki Haley, former governor of South Carolina, who will not give up the race for now, although today she received only 28.5% of the vote with 22% counted, compared to 66.6% for the former president.

Meanwhile, it was confirmed today that Biden, despite being the only Democratic candidate with a real chance, will have a rival in the presidential race that could significantly complicate his re-election: the voter dissatisfied with the United States’ role in the EU Gaza war.

Counted at 22%, Biden received 79.7% approval, while 14.6% checked the “non-committal” box (non-binding delegates, the equivalent of a blank vote), following a campaign that encouraged opposition to the US role in the Gaza war.

Gaza, the biggest obstacle for Biden

And the main key to this election was measuring how the Gaza conflict could weaken Biden heading into November’s general election.

Two organizations representing the Arab and Muslim electorate and most progressive Democrats, Listen to Michigan and Our Revolution, asked that the “not specified” box be checked to protest the US support given to Israel in its military offensive in Gaza stripes.

The goal of the protest movement was to ensure that at least 10% of the votes cast in the Democratic primary remained blank in order to persuade the Biden administration to change course on its policy towards the Middle East and demand an unconditional ceasefire from Israel .

And although the count is incomplete, it appears that they have achieved their goal in a key state for the presidential election, as it is one of the so-called hinge states that can rely on narrow majorities on both the Democratic and Republican sides .

In the 2020 election, Michigan, which has counties with large Arab populations, was key to Biden’s victory.

The state will designate 117 delegates to the Democratic convention, and the “non-binding” vote, while it cannot derail the current president’s nomination, may serve to quell discontent among young voters and areas with high Arab and Muslim populations to express the party’s congress, which will take place in August and at which Biden will be officially named.

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In addition to Biden, Democrats could also elect Congressman Dean Phillips today, who received only 2.8% of the vote.

Haley moves on, ready for Super Tuesday

Despite Haley’s new defeat, the former South Carolina governor said in an interview with CNN minutes after the polls closed that she was not withdrawing from the race for the Republican Party’s nomination He will “definitely” take part in “Super Tuesday” because he “has a country to save.”

In terms of numbers, Republicans are barely represented in today’s primaries. And since the date of the primary elections in the state violates Republican Party rules, this Tuesday’s results will award only 16 of the 55 delegates to avoid sanction.

The remaining delegates will be chosen at the party’s state convention on March 2, another feature of the complex and lengthy primary election calendar in the United States. The former South Carolina governor, who also lost in her own state’s primary election last weekend, She is Trump’s only remaining rival.

So there are few options for Super Tuesday on the 5th, a day when fifteen states, including Texas and California, are called to vote.

With the results from Michigan yet to be added, Trump has 110 of the 1,215 delegates he needs to add to be mathematically named the Republican nominee, which will be the case Milwaukee Republican National Convention, which will take place from July 15th to 18th. Haley is only 20.

Everything seems to indicate that nothing can stop the former governor, not even all the pending cases he has with the judiciary, including four criminal cases for crimes such as trying to invalidate the elections, bribery, keeping secret documents or his relationship . with the attack on the Capitol on January 6, 2021.

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