Glasgow: With the commitments made at the United Nations Climate Summit, the world can slightly reduce the serious consequences of global warming in the future. This information was given in 2 new preliminary scientific analyzes on Thursday. A report by the International Energy Agency and a report by Australian scientists have expressed hope for the future. He says that if all goes well, recent measures will lower temperatures 0.3 to 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit from projections made in mid-October.
‘We now have a slightly more positive outlook on the future’
The analyzes project a warming of 1.8 or 1.9 ° C instead of a warming of 2.1 ° C from the pre-industrial period. However, in both analyzes, the world is far from the 1.5 ° C warming target set by the 2015 Paris climate agreement. The Earth has already warmed 1.1 ° C. “Now we have a slightly more outlook. positive for the future, “said Malte Menshausen, a climate scientist at the University of Melbourne.
‘It’s still far from 1.5 degrees’
Menshausen has projected a warming of up to 1.9 ° C and attributed it to the long-term commitments of India and China. “It is still far from 1.5 degrees,” he said. We know it will harm the ecology. It’s only a little less than 2 ° C, so a lot needs to be done. The energy agency conducted an analysis on Monday taking into account the short-term reduction in carbon dioxide emissions and India’s commitment to zero emissions by 2070.
‘For the first time the estimate was less than 2 degrees Celsius’
In addition, the analysis considers the commitments made by more than 100 countries on Tuesday to reduce the greenhouse gas methane. The intergovernmental agency says this is the first time the estimate has been given below 2 degrees Celsius. “If all these commitments are implemented, the temperature rise can be limited to 1.8 degrees Celsius,” agency chief Fatih Birol told leaders at COP26.
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