The Formula 1 season is just around the corner, and the testing in Bahrain has given us a glimpse of what’s to come. As we analyze the performance of each team, it’s essential to consider both the raw data and the corrective factors that can impact the outcome. One factor that stands out is the exceptional driving skills of certain individuals, such as Fernando Alonso, who managed to get his car into the Q3 16 times last season despite having an underperforming vehicle. Another notable driver is Max Verstappen, who is always a force to be reckoned with on the track.
Based on the testing in Bahrain, here’s a breakdown of how the teams are shaping up:
1. McLaren
The McLaren team appears to be in top form, with their MCL39 car showing impressive pace throughout the testing sessions. Lando Norris’s performance on the third day, where he completed a long stint on the C3 tire without losing speed, was particularly noteworthy. The team’s consistency and speed make them a strong contender for a double podium finish in Melbourne on March 16. However, when they face off against top drivers like Verstappen, Hamilton, or Leclerc, the competition will be fierce.
2. Ferrari
Ferrari is currently ranked third, but there are a few factors to consider. Charles Leclerc’s outstanding performance on the first day, where he set the fastest time with 70 kilograms of fuel, was impressive. However, the team seemed to hold back on the subsequent days, focusing on fine-tuning their settings rather than pushing for the fastest times. Leclerc could be a potential winner in Melbourne, especially considering the expected high temperatures, which might affect the performance of other cars.
3. Red Bull
Red Bull is taking a typical approach to testing, focusing on basic tests and fine-tuning their car. Liam Lawson, the new driver, did a race simulation, but it wasn’t particularly impressive. The real test will be when Max Verstappen gets behind the wheel, as he has the potential to make a significant difference. Verstappen’s presence on the track can be intimidating, and even Lando Norris has expressed his concern about racing against him.
4. Mercedes
Mercedes seems to be the second-best team after McLaren, but their performance is highly dependent on the track conditions. The cold weather and specific circuit characteristics in Bahrain don’t reflect the conditions they’ll face in Australia. They might win more than one race this season, and Antonelli appears to have had a good testing session, which could bode well for the team’s overall performance.
5. Williams
Williams has made significant strides, thanks in part to the addition of Carlos Sainz. The team’s director, James Vowles, acknowledges that Sainz’s arrival has already made them faster. Although they were running with low fuel levels, they still managed to outperform other top teams. Williams is aiming to be the fifth team and is likely to give Alpine a run for their money.
6. Alpine
Alpine has maintained their momentum from the end of the 2024 season, showing good pace and reliability during testing. They’ll be a strong contender, especially with drivers like Gasly and Doohan, who have already demonstrated their speed. Alpine will likely be the primary rival to Williams, along with Haas and possibly Aston Martin, in the upcoming season.
7. Aston Martin
Aston Martin’s performance is heavily influenced by Fernando Alonso’s exceptional driving skills. While the team’s car may not be the best, Alonso’s talent can still get them into the top positions. The team’s qualifying performance in 2024 was impressive, thanks to Alonso, but their race pace was lacking. This season might see a similar pattern, with Alonso’s skills compensating for the car’s limitations.
8. Racing Bulls
The rebranded Racing Bulls team, formerly known as AlphaTauri, seems to be in a similar position to last year. Their times during testing were not particularly impressive, but they might still have an edge over Haas and Stake. The team’s performance will depend on the specific circuit and conditions.
9. Haas
Haas has lost some ground with the departure of Hulkenberg and Magnussen, particularly in qualifying. The team’s new lineup, including Esteban Ocon and Olli Bearman, will need to adapt quickly to be competitive. Haas might find themselves battling for seventh or ninth place, depending on how the season unfolds.
10. Stake Sauber
Stake Sauber is currently the weakest link in the Formula 1 grid, and it’s unlikely they’ll be able to escape the last position this season. The team’s performance during testing was underwhelming, and even the talented young driver, Bortoleto, will face an uphill battle to shine. Nico Hulkenberg will have to work hard to make a difference, but it won’t be easy.
