The most probable final of the Qatar 2022 World Cup would be between Argentina and Franceaccording to a study carried out by the Brazilian investment bank XP who used a simulator with mathematical models for data analysis.
In that context, the report adds that the simulators predict the final between France and Argentina as “the most probable”, with a 55% chance of possibilities for the French to win the title on that stage.
Meanwhile and despite the fact that “it will probably face more difficulties to reach the decisive match” the report indicates that the The Brazilian team is the one that has “the best chance of winning the title if it manages to reach the finalaccording to the model.
the study of XP bank points to the Netherlands teams, with a (18.8%) chance; Argentina (18.4%), France (17.4%), Belgium (16.7%), England (15.7%), Brazil (15.4%), Spain (14.2%) and Denmark ( 11.1%), in that order, as the eight “most likely” to reach the final.
But the simulation indicates that, In case they reach the final, the ones with the best chances of winning the title are Brazil (63%), Argentina (61%), Spain (59%), Netherlands (56.7%)Belgium (51.2%), France (48.7%), Denmark (48.2%), Germany (47.1%) and England (46.1%).
“According to our simulations, The five teams with the best chances of going to the finals are Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Spain and the Netherlands. For comparison, betting sites include Argentina, Brazil and Spain among the favourites, but also put France and England among the top five most likely,” XP said in his study.
Another conclusion is that Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Spain, France, the Netherlands and Portugal will probably advance “without difficulties” to the round of 16, according to the study.
The mathematical model -according to its creators- took into account different variables, including the characteristics of each Selectiontheir location in the different world rankings -including that of FIFA-, their performance in recent matches, their history of results when faced with each other and the possible crossings from the positions in their groups.
