The conflict in the Middle East could harm Biden at the start of the election campaign

Against the will of Joe Biden, which is trying to calm the conflict in the Middle East, the war on this side of the world is increasingly intensifying at a time of high political importance in the United States. The president's initial unwavering support for defending Israel against attack is costing him support from members of the liberal wing of the Democratic Party. But siding with the other side doesn't seem to help you either, since that would mean giving up the support of more moderate politicians and a fairly large group of voters, namely the Jewish population of the United States, which is about 7.6 millions of people.

In the 2020 election, Jewish voters went for Biden Donald Trump By a margin of 77% to 21%, the president could lose this crucial vote in the 2024 election if he doesn't fix the situation soon. Also worrying is the support of another group of voters that was crucial for the Democrat in the last elections. like for example you are the young people. According to Gallup, “Millennials are now evenly split: 42% sympathize with the Palestinians and 40% with the Israelis.”

It does not appear that his subtle rhetoric demanding respect for the lives of civilians in Gaza is doing much good within his own ranks. According to an Oct. 26 Gallup poll, “approval ratings for the president have fallen 11% among Democrats and support among independents has fallen 4%.” Additionally, another New York Times/Siena College poll released in December found that 57% of respondents disapproved of Biden's management of conflict.

As Republicans pursue him and otherwise question his global leadership and foreign policy skills because of his advanced age — the president turned 81 last November — Biden finds himself in a key impasse, choosing between terror and death must. The decision must be made sooner rather than later as the official start of the campaign imminent with the Iowa caucuses next Monday evening.

When conflict broke out in the Middle East on October 7, the US president said Hamas was “pure, unadulterated evil” and unconditionally supported Israel because, like all nations of the world, it “has it.” The right to respond, in fact, has the duty to respond to cruel attacks. The US president has pressured Congress to approve a major aid package for Israel, and his representative at the United Nations blocked a Security Council resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza.

However, as international pressure mounted and thousands of people took to the streets in major cities to beg for mercy for the people of Gaza, Biden changed his position slightly. In his address to the nation on October 20, he said that “like so many others, I am heartbroken by the tragic loss of Palestinian lives” and that “we do not have and do not recognize the humanity of innocent Palestinians who simply want to live in peace can ignore.” a chance.” “. At the time, he reiterated his support for a “two-state solution.”

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As if matters weren't already tense enough, the United States has already launched two attacks on Houthi militia targets in Yemen, and many believe the offensive will further escalate the conflict in the region. Biden will again have to make important and certainly unpopular decisions. Of course, the White House is maintaining its peaceful discourse for the time being. “We are not interested in a war against the Houthis in Yemen, we are not interested in conflict of any kind.” “We want their attacks to stop,” said the US National Security Council spokesman. John Kirbyparticularly with US troops in the firing line in Iraq and Syria.

However, the credibility of American power is currently at stake and it was imperative to restore some form of deterrence. “These targeted attacks send a clear message that the United States and our partners will not tolerate attacks on our personnel or allow hostile actors to threaten freedom of navigation on one of the world’s most important trade routes,” Biden said in a statement.

We must not forget that the decision to carry out these attacks comes at a time when his Defense Minister, Lloyd AustinHe was hospitalized after complications from prostate cancer surgery, which he did not inform Biden about. Some have leveled various criticisms of the administration, claiming that the decision, without Austin's involvement, endangered national security.

Biden doesn't want to lose supporters, but he won't show weakness either. Unlike Trump, the big poll favorite in the Republican primaries, he walks a fine line. He is much more radical and his victory in the next election could be a cure worse than the disease. The former president's direct and provocative tone toward China, for example, could force Middle Eastern states to choose sides. The former president's policies are very similar to the idea promoted by Biden and his Democratic predecessor Barack Obama regarding the US military presence in the region, counterterrorism policy and support for regional allies. The only thing that Trump excels at is when it comes to Iran, which is seeking a diplomatic dispute with the country.

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