The case that threatens Donald Trump summarized in two minutes

Journalists and protesters camping outside the Manhattan Courthouse and Trump Tower. Police deployed en masse. Security barriers erected Tuesday afternoon. New York and the United States are in turmoil awaiting a possible indictment of Donald Trump in the context of the Stormy Daniels case.

The former president had said he expected charges to be announced Tuesday, but nothing filtered from the office of New York State Attorney for the District of Manhattan, Alvin Bragg. According to New York Times, it could only be postponed on Wednesday. The grand jury, responsible for deciding on a possible indictment via a simple majority vote, meets three times a week, every Monday, Wednesday and Thursday.

In all likelihood, Donald Trump should not be arrested but go to the New York authorities, probably next week, to have the charges officially notified to him.

$130,000 donated before 2016 election

It all dates back to the 2016 presidential election. Donald Trump is suspected of having bought the silence of former X star Stormy Daniels, when the latter was preparing to publicly affirm, a month before the election, that she had had an affair with the real estate mogul ten years earlier. Potentially embarrassing allegations for Donald Trump, already weakened by the Access Hollywood video in which he claimed to be able to “grab (women) by the pussy without consequence”.

In 2019, his former lawyer Michael Cohen testified before Congress. He had assured that he had paid Stormy Daniels 130,000 dollars, then that Donald Trump had reimbursed him the following year. This could violate campaign finance laws.

At first, the Manhattan prosecutor, who took office in early 2022, was not convinced by the investigation launched by his predecessor, but the situation seems to have changed.

A candidate surrounded by business

According to experts, even in the event of an indictment, the game would however be far from won for the prosecutor. The line between private dealings and campaign contributions is often blurred, and Democrat John Edwards had no convictions in 2012.

Whatever the scenario, a conviction would not prevent Donald Trump, who has already embarked on the 2024 presidential race, from running for a new term. But an indictment could represent the fall of the first domino, with a candidate facing half a dozen investigations: his role in the Capitol storming, his efforts to interfere with the 2020 presidential results – in nationally and in the state of Georgia – and his handling of confidential documents after leaving the White House.

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