Former US President Donald Trump reasserted his power in the presidential race by winning the Iowa caucuses last week. This victory has led to a rapid withdrawal of other Republican candidateswho have decided to support Trump and thereby consolidate his position as the undisputed leader among conservatives.
Among those who join the New York tycoon is the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis, who announced this Sunday that he was abandoning the primaries for the Republican presidential nomination Show your support for Trump's candidacy.
That's why we're paying attention to it now New Hampshire, a state that holds its primary elections this Tuesday and that, given her profile as a moderate voter, this represents the last and best opportunity for former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley to show that she can defeat Trump and change the course of the political narrative. Without going too far, candidates supported by Trump and the MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement have had difficulties here in recent years.
Despite Haley has seen a rise in the polls in recent weeksTrump has a comfortable double-digit lead. The key question is whether Haley can reverse that trend and win the primary, a key milestone in the presidential race.
A victory for the former UN ambassador would be the start a more competitive phase in a primary that has so far been dominated by Trump. However, a victory for the former president could create a feeling that he will become the Republican Party's nominee for the third consecutive term.
Unlike the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire caucuses are open to independent and unregistered voters. This group represents nearly 40% of registered voters in the statecould have a significant impact on the final outcome and play a crucial role in Haley's strategy to win support beyond Republican ranks.
New Hampshire, a crucial barometer
The New Hampshire campaign has seen an unprecedented investment totaling $77.5 million spent on campaign ads targeting the Republican primary. Nikki Haley and her followers top the list of investors with a whopping $30.9 million, nearly doubling the investment of Trump and his allies, who spent $15.7 million. This financial waste raises the question of how it could influence the election outcome and voters' perceptions.
New Hampshire, with its historic role in opening the primaries, has become a crucial barometer for selecting presidential candidates. Over the years, this state has experienced unrest and influenced the outcome of presidential elections. Its importance lies in its ability to revive seemingly dead campaigns or consolidate a candidate's position. Unexpected winners like John McCain in 2008 and Hillary Clinton in 2008 have found the momentum needed in New Hampshire to stay in the race.
In the case of the Republicans The New Hampshire primary has proven to be a reliable indicator who will win the Republican Party nomination. Since 1976, in elections in which there was no incumbent Republican president on the ballot, six of New Hampshire's eight winners became nominees, including the final three. This story underscores the relevance and influence that these primaries can have on the candidates' political fortunes.
Over the years, New Hampshire has been the scene of dramatic events that have left an indelible mark on American politics. Of forged letters that influenced public perceptionFrom emotional moments that changed the course of campaigns, this state has experienced intense moments that have influenced political decision-making at the national level.