Meteorologists from the United States National Hurricane Center (NHC) are monitoring two low pressure systems in the Atlantic basin, one of which could become a named storm in the coming days over the Caribbean.
The last cyclone in the Atlantic basin this season, which ends in just over a month (November 30), was Karl, a tropical storm that hit the Mexican coast of the Gulf of Mexico in mid-October.
As reported by the NHC this Friday, a broad area of ​​low pressure over the southeastern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extend from the Windward Islands up to several hundred kilometers.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development over the next few days and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week, while moving slowly west or west-northwest over central from the Caribbean.
Regardless of the development of that weather disturbance, heavy rains may occur in the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend.
The probability of formation in 48 hours is low (20%) but five days ahead it increases to 70%.
At the same time, in the southwestern Atlantic, a large area of ​​cloudiness and showers extends from near Bermuda to the south over the western Atlantic, associated with a low pressure background.
The formation of a broad area of ​​low pressure is expected this Friday, but environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for now and any development would take time to occur, the NHC stresses.
By Saturday afternoon, upper-level winds are forecast to become even less favorable for development and the low pressure system will begin to interact with an approaching frontal system.
The probabilities of formation in 48 hours and 5 days ahead are low (20% in both cases).