In a recent episode of Madelon Praat, Madelon Vos shares her insights on the current macroeconomic situation and its impact on global financial markets. Among other things, she talks about China, where the real estate crisis that began a year and a half ago has spread to the shadow banking sector. This sector, known for its higher risk, is now struggling with the consequences of the real estate market crisis.
It also discusses the possibility of stagflation and a number of other important issues. Of course, she is also concerned with what impact this could have on assets like Bitcoin (BTC).
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Banking sector in trouble?
Last week, Chinese financial institution Prize Group reached a court settlement in Beijing over bankruptcy, resulting in the largest bankruptcy ever in China's shadow banking sector.
The European financial markets are also not without risk. In 2023, Europe was shocked by the collapse of a major bank, leading to several investigations and reports on the stability of the sector.
A recent report from UBS points to cyclical reasons for exiting banking stocks and highlights potential interest rate cuts as a risk to bank profits. UBS analysts also point out that stricter regulations are having a dampening effect on company productivity.
Stagflation and the global economy
There are also concerns about stagflation, an economic phenomenon in which high inflation is accompanied by stagnant economic growth. This concern is reinforced by statements from economists like Carmen Reinhard who signal an increasing risk of a dollar crash. She compares the current situation with the 1970s, a time of stagflation and the USA's high debt burden.
In addition, there are more analysts who expect a second wave of inflation. More on this in the video above.
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Influence on financial markets and Bitcoin
The financial markets appear to be at a crossroads. The Federal Reserve has indicated that interest rates may need to remain high for an extended period of time, adding to the complexity of the current economic environment. Stock market analyzes also indicate a discrepancy between market value and the real economy.
Bitcoin remains a point of attention in the crypto world. Price fluctuations occur due in part to uncertainty surrounding ETF applications and general market movements. In the video above you will find, among other things, an interesting technical analysis of Bitcoin!
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