In Canada, Justin Trudeau is back to square one

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau delivers his victory speech at the Fairmount Queen Elizabeth Hotel in Montreal, Quebec, on September 21, 2021 (ANDREJ IVANOV / AFP)

His party wins the polls with almost the same number of deputies as the previous legislature. Justin Trudeau saves his skin, but it’s a tightrope victory, lackluster because his third government will be like the previous one: a minority government, forced to negotiate with two small parties to approve the bills. Exactly what he tried to avoid by calling an early election two years before the end of his term.

In fact, he wanted to leverage his popularity linked to good health crisis management to regain the majority he had lost in 2019. He thought his re-election would just be a formality. But Canadians didn’t understand why he was embarking on this adventure in the midst of a pandemic, while his opponents were quick to denounce his political opportunism.
As a result, until the last day he found himself neck to neck with his conservative rival.

All in a chaotic campaign, disturbed by anti-taxes and opponents of the health pass. We insulted him, we pestered him… In August, he had to cancel a meeting. In Ontario, on September 7, a protester even threw gravel at him as he boarded the bus.

We are far from the “Trudeau-mania” that accompanied his coming to power in 2015! Remember that extravagant dandy in his early forties who appeared on the front page of the magazine? Rolling Stone, with which Emmanuel Macron likes to appear at international summits.

He is the one who makes Canada the second country in the world to legalize cannabis, passes an end-of-life law, leads a center-left policy that distributes wealth. But over the years, the seduction blunts; when he is hit by corruption and conflict of interest scandals in 2019, he can no longer turn the tide.

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Its record is regrettable, in terms of the environment it has to back down from Canada’s realpolitik (fourth oil producer in the world). He was also angry with Quebec for postponing the adoption of a law on the defense of France until the Greek calendars. In short, his image as a reformer takes a hit.

Now that he stays, it won’t change much, especially on the international stage. Five years ago, Justin Trudeau boasted of being a multilateralist leader, triumphantly announcing that Canada was “backIn reality, its influence has only diminished: Ottawa has not even managed to secure a non-permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council.

It also clashed with great powers such as Russia or China, when in 2018, at the request of the United States, it arrested a Chinese Huawei leader in Vancouver. Canada is a minor player on the international stage. It will stay like this.

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