Free picks AS Mexico Dallas vs New York

Cowboys vs Giants November 24

Point Differential – Giants +10

It looks scary on paper, but this is the situation where you want to back the New York Giants. Situationally, the Cowboys just turned in a commanding performance in a win over the Vikings, while the Giants were embarrassed on their home field against the Lions. Support a team to bounce back after not covering the previous week, while at the same time fading a team he covered by a massive margin is a consistent angle that has been profitable for years in the NFL. Make no exception this week in this NFC East matchup.

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This is a team that isn’t as strong as a favorite, but thrives in the underdog role. It all starts with your quarterback. Daniel Jones is 14-5 against the spread as an underdog on the road in his career, as he has always played better outside of MetLife Stadium during his tenure in New York.

New York’s running game has been the engine behind their offense, which will come into play against a Cowboys defense that ranks 26th in opponent yards per carry and 24th in yards per carry allowed this season. Dallas can chase the quarterback with its excellent pass rush, but this Giants passing game emphasizes getting the ball out of Jones’ hands quickly anyway, so it should neutralize some of the effectiveness of Micah Parsons and company.

In a divisional matchup with relatively low totals, it’s hard not to take the points with New York.

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Game Total: Under 44.5

Taking the shorts at Giants games has been a consistently profitable trend in recent years, and I don’t see that stopping on Thursday.

The bass is coming in at a 74% pace in games involving the Giants since the start of the 2020 season.making New York the most profitable team in the NFL over the past 3 seasons. The Cowboys should have plenty of Tony Pollard off the field in this game, especially since the Giants’ run defense is near the bottom of the league in yards per carry allowed.

On the other hand, since the Giants’ best chance of staying competitive is keeping the ball on the ground and chewing up the clock, the clear bias is toward the downside in this contest.

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