Essequibo: Why Maduro’s “war” needs to be taken very seriously

With the E: Guyana region claimed by Venezuela. Until a few days ago, the question would have been impossible to answer even for the champions of the Antena 3 program Pasapalabra. Today it should already be a question to which there is a simple answer… considering how it presents itself to us.

Essequibo is a region in Guyana that borders Venezuela. that Caracas wants to annex. And this is not just a territorial whim of a leader in trouble, but also a serious bet can destabilize the region for everything it implies. Two notes: Oil and elections in sight. The perfect cocktail.

Here are some pointers to understand what is happening in this region and what consequences it may have.

1. Where is Essequibo?

Essequibo is part of Guyana (capital Georgetown), a country with fewer than a million English-speaking residents. The disputed region borders Brazil and especially Venezuela, which has claimed it since the late 19th century. So we are facing a territory that the majority of Venezuelans consider to be their own. First point for Maduro.

2. Is it a small area?

So it’s a kind of colonial war, but not against an island, a small enclave or a remote area. Essequibo occupies almost two-thirds of Guyana. This means that if Georgetown loses control, the land will be reduced to a minimum.

The company that Maduro founded is therefore not small. It represents a significant change in the map of the region and therefore leads to an internationalization of the conflict. Guyana has already asked for help from the United States (which has as much affinity for the country as it does mistrust of Maduro) and neighboring Brazil. And the UN will have to take a position. And the Organization of American States…Washington needs to adjust its actions, but what it does will have global implications.

3. Maduro’s strategy

The Venezuelan leader’s plan is not improvised. For these cases, follow the instructions to call a referendum with a predetermined result in the hopes of giving the coup a democratic appearance. The consultation, as expected, supported the annexation of Essequibo. After, It is equipped with the usual Bolivarian rhetoric and the goal achieved.

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According to the Venezuelan Prosecutor’s Office, it was “a great victory for national unity, in which there are no winners or losers, but rather an extraordinary triumph for Venezuela against the arrogant presumptions and violations of international law by the Government of Guyana.”

And one more step: Gaza, Zionism and peace, all in one pot. “At a time when the Palestinian people are being massacred by international Zionism and when tensions are rising over control of the world’s energy resources,” Venezuela “held an election rally calling for a peaceful solution to the territorial conflict,” he added the public prosecutor’s office.

4. Elections in sight

If you want to win an election, first win a war, or at least explain. The maxim has worked for almost all leaders (except Winston Churchill) and leaders of all stripes have embraced it passionately.

In dictatorship Argentina, the British Falkland Islands were within reach, although that seemed like a rosary of dawn. For Maduro, Essequibo is his war, knowing that the majority of the population considers this territory their own.

Let us not forget that there are elections on the horizon that are expected to be closer than the previous ones, with an opposition united around Corina Machado (against whom, by the way, the Venezuelan government has already begun its campaign of harassment). If you can go to the polls with an expansion project under your arm, even better.

5. And of course oil

And to give it all meaning: money. More specifically, oil. The annexation claim comes to their misfortune after Guyana has discovered important oil reserves in the region That makes Maduro’s bet even juicier.

Oil (and elections) are well worth a war.

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