Iran Threat Persists Even if Trump Signs Proposed Ceasefire Deal, Expert Warns

The U.S. and Israel remain locked in a direct military conflict with Iran that began in February 2026, triggering a global energy crisis and a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports. Against this background, negotiators have structured a tentative 60-day ceasefire framework aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Ahmad Sharawi, a senior research analyst at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, stated on Forbes Newsroom that a potential agreement will not neutralize the security risks posed by Tehran. Sharawi explained that the Iranian regime maintains a large network of regional proxies to continue its destabilizing operations with plausible deniability.

These proxies include active militias in Iraq, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Houthis in Yemen. The Trump administration continues to evaluate the specific terms of the proposed parameters of the Iran ceasefire deal, which could temporarily lift the maritime blockade.

Ceasefire talks remain complicated by strict enforcement of financial penalties against Tehran. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent issued a formal warning to international shipping companies, stating that paying any transit tolls demanded by Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz violates U.S. sanctions.

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